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Forecasters agree: 2025 hurricane season to be unusually active


Colorado State University’s CSU Tropical Weather & Climate Research Team wrote on April 3 (PDF) “that 2025 will have 17 named storms (average is 14.4), 85 named storm days (average is 69.4), 9 hurricanes (average is 7.2), 35 hurricane days (average is 27.0), 4 major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 3.2) and 9 major hurricane days (average is 7.4).”

In addition, CSU puts the probability for at least one major hurricane landfall on the east coast (U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida south and east of Cedar Key) at 26%. The average from 1880–2020 is 21%.

Hurricane season forecasts are out and most experts agree that the 2025 season, June 1 to November 30, is going to be unusually active.

WeatherTiger’s Chief Meteorologist Ryan Truchelut wrote on May 28, “. . . we see about 65% odds of an above normal season, with 2025 more likely than not to tally 16 to 20 tropical storms, 7 to 9 hurricanes, 3 to 4 major hurricanes, and an Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) outcome of ~140 units, trending down slightly in the last two months.”

NOAA’s predictions are similar. The federal agency anticipates a 60% chance of an above-normal season, 13 to 19 total named storms, 6-10 hurricanes, and 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher).

AccuWeather forecasts “13 to 18 storms and warning of hurricanes that can rapidly strengthen leading up to landfall.”

And TSR (Tropical Storm Risk) predicts (PDF) “activity around 25% above the 1991-2020 climate norm and close to the recent 10-year 2015-2024 average.”

Atmospheric G2 and The Weather Company are expecting less activity than in 2024 but definitely above average. However, the team says that while the number of hurricanes may be lower than in 2024, we should expect more hurricanes to make landfall.

Finally, if videos are your thing, here are primary and secondary source vids on the predictions already mentioned above and a few other sources.









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