Data is Plural―a weekly newsletter (and seasonal podcast) of useful/curious datasets, published by Jeremy Singer-Vine―recently shared info about hurricanes.
Hurricane forecast accuracy. The National Hurricane Center says it “receives frequent inquiries on the accuracy and skill of its forecasts and of the computer models available to it.” To help answer those questions, the agency publishes a series of regularly-updated verification reports, as well as a database quantifying its forecast errors. For each official projection since 1970, the database compares each storm’s predicted location and wind speed to those attributes’ ultimate values. As seen in: “The Social Value of Hurricane Forecasts,” a study by Renato Molina and Ivan Rudik.
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